Oct 21, 2025TechEUEvidence Network

Etna: A New Method Discovered for Predicting Eruptions

Mount Etna volcano with smoke plume rising against dramatic sky

Mount Etna's Magma Movements Offer New Hope for Eruption Prediction

In the shadow of Europe's most active volcano, scientists have discovered a groundbreaking method to predict deadly eruptions by tracking the subtle movements of magma deep beneath Mount Etna's surface. This new approach promises earlier warnings and safer communities living in the volcano's shadow.

"For centuries, Etna has been both a gift and a threat to Sicily," explains Dr. Elena Rossi, volcanologist at the National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology. "Now, by understanding how magma shifts and swells underground, we can give people precious time to prepare."

A Volcano's Secret Language

The innovative method focuses on micro-changes in the volcano's plumbing system - detecting subtle swelling and fracturing as magma chambers pressurize. Sensors placed around the volcano's flanks measure ground deformation with unprecedented precision, creating a real-time map of Etna's geological activity.

"It's like the volcano is speaking to us," says lead researcher Marco Bianchi. "Before an eruption, magma moves in distinctive patterns. We're learning to translate these signals into actionable alerts."

Life in Etna's Shadow

For residents in towns like Catania and Taormina, where volcano sirens blare during emergencies, this technology represents more than scientific progress. It means safer evacuation routes, protected homes, and the ability to continue daily life with greater security.

"Last evacuation was terrifying," recalls Maria Giunta, a cafe owner in Linguaglossa. "We had only 40 minutes. With this new system, we might have hours to secure our businesses and gather essentials."

Global Implications

While developed specifically for Etna, researchers believe the technique could be adapted for other volcanoes worldwide. From Japan's Mount Fuji to the Cascades range in the United States, similar real-time monitoring could save thousands of lives annually.

The European Commission has already earmarked €12 million for implementing similar systems across high-risk volcanic regions in the EU.

"This isn't just about Etna," emphasizes Dr. Rossi. "We're creating a blueprint that could transform volcanic hazard assessment globally."

As the sun sets over Sicily, casting long shadows across Etna's snow-capped peak, the volcano's secrets are slowly yielding. What once seemed nature's wrath may soon become a conversation we can understand - and prepare for.

Read the original reporting at Evidence Network