Oct 13, 2025BusinessGlobalThe Conversation

Trade Tensions Flare as Trump Threatens Tariffs Over China's Rare Earth Controls

Shipping containers stacked in port under cloudy skies symbolizing global trade tension

The simmering US-China trade conflict has boiled over again, with former President Donald Trump calling Beijing's new rare earth mineral export controls "extremely hostile" during a campaign rally in Pennsylvania. The dispute centers on China's plans to tighten restrictions on exports of 17 critical minerals essential for manufacturing everything from smartphones to electric vehicles.

Why Rare Earths Matter

These obscure minerals have become the new battlefield in global tech dominance:

  • Vital components in smartphones, wind turbines, and military equipment
  • Chinese dominance: Controls 90% of refined rare earth production
  • US dependence: 80% of American rare earth imports come from China

"When they cut off our supply chains, they're cutting the legs out from under American manufacturing," Trump told supporters, proposing 100% tariffs as retaliation. The announcement sent shockwaves through tech boardrooms, with industry analysts warning of potential price hikes and production delays.

Human Cost of Trade Wars

Behind the political posturing lie real-world consequences:

  • Ohio auto worker Maria Chen worries about plant closures: "We barely recovered from the last tariffs"
  • Silicon Valley startups face component shortages delaying product launches
  • EV manufacturers scramble to secure alternative mineral sources

"This isn't just about politics – it's about whether my small electronics business survives," says San Diego entrepreneur Raj Patel.

Silver Linings Emerging

Paradoxically, experts see potential benefits from the tensions:

  1. Accelerated development of US rare earth mining in Texas and Wyoming
  2. Increased recycling initiatives for urban mining of old electronics
  3. New trade partnerships with Australia and Vietnam for mineral supply

Long-Term Implications

Global supply chains continue fracturing into competing blocs. Trade analysts suggest:

  • Companies should diversify suppliers across multiple continents
  • Governments must invest in critical mineral stockpiles
  • Circular economy models gain urgency for resource security

With global GDP growth slowing, the International Monetary Fund warns trade disputes could cost the world economy up to $1.4 trillion by 2030 if escalation continues.

Read original analysis at The Conversation