Trump tariffs to slow global growth to 3.2%; India's growth to stay strong with 6.6% in 2025: IMF report
India shines as global growth slows under Trump's tariff storm
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has painted a contrasting picture of the global economy in 2025: while rising US tariffs threaten to slow worldwide growth to a meager 3.2%, India emerges as a beacon of resilience with projected expansion of 6.6%. This divergence highlights India's economic strength amid mounting international trade tensions and investment uncertainty.
"India stands out as a bright spot in what's becoming a challenging global landscape," said IMF analysts in their latest report. The country's robust performance stems from unwavering domestic consumption and policy stability that continue to shield its economy from external pressures.
The global headwinds
As protectionist measures ripple through international markets, many economies face reduced trade flows and hesitating investment decisions. The IMF warns these frictions could dampen growth prospects across multiple continents, creating ripple effects that may last beyond 2025.
"Trade tensions are creating uncertainty that makes businesses postpone investment decisions," noted the report. "This cautious approach could prolong the global slowdown period longer than initially anticipated."
India's economic shield
While global output faces downward pressure, India's domestic market continues to thrive. Strong consumer spending, supported by stable policies and structural reforms, provides a counterbalance to international volatility. The report specifically highlights:
- Consistent domestic demand as growth driver
- Policy continuity supporting business confidence
- Strategic positioning in global supply chains
"India's ability to maintain such robust growth during turbulent times speaks to the strength of its economic foundations," commented economic analysts following the report's release.
Looking ahead to 2025
The projections suggest India's growth trajectory will outpace not only the global average but also many other emerging markets. This performance could position India as an increasingly important economic engine at a time when many large economies face headwinds.
"What we're seeing is a shift in economic gravity," said one economist. "As traditional growth engines sputter, economies with strong domestic foundations like India are becoming more critical for global stability."
The IMF report underscores how India's policy choices and economic structure have created a buffer against international volatility, offering valuable lessons for other nations navigating an era of increased protectionism and trade uncertainty.
Read the full Economic Times report here