Oct 11, 2025BusinessUSTechCrunch

Trump Threatens 100% Tariffs on Chinese Goods Amid Rare Earth Trade Dispute

Close-up of tariff documents with US and China flags visible in the background

Former President Donald Trump has escalated trade tensions with China, announcing a bold 100% tariff proposal on all Chinese imports and new software export controls. This retaliatory measure comes just days after China restricted exports of rare earth minerals—critical components in everything from smartphones to electric vehicles.

"When they take aim at our economy, we must hit back twice as hard," Trump declared at a campaign-style rally Friday. The proposed tariffs would mark the most severe trade restriction between the world's two largest economies since the 2020 trade war, potentially impacting $557 billion in annual trade.

The conflict centers around rare earth minerals—17 elements crucial for advanced technology manufacturing. China currently controls 90% of global refining capacity, giving it significant leverage in tech supply chains. Recent Chinese export permits now require government approval for shipments of key minerals like dysprosium and terbium.

Wider Implications

Industry analysts warn the standoff could:

  • Increase consumer electronics prices by 15-25%
  • Disrupt EV battery production timelines
  • Accelerate rare earth mining projects in California and Australia

"This isn't just about tariffs—it's about controlling the technological future," noted trade analyst Lisa Chen. "Who controls these minerals controls the green energy transition."

Tech companies find themselves caught in the crossfire. The proposed U.S. software export controls would impact AI algorithms and industrial design programs—tools Chinese manufacturers rely on for product development.

The Commerce Department has 60 days to finalize the measures, leaving a window for potential negotiations. Meanwhile, automakers and electronics manufacturers are reportedly scrambling to diversify mineral sources, with several African mining projects suddenly attracting intense investor interest.

As supply chain professionals prepare for potential disruptions, the tech community watches nervously. With rare earths powering everything from wind turbines to military equipment, this trade fight could determine who builds tomorrow's critical technologies.